
Emmy Predictions: Documentary Series/Specials — ‘Greatest Night in Pop,’ ‘Quiet on Set’ and David Letterman are Frontrunners

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Documentary Categories (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit)

Weekly Commentary (Updated: Aug. 19, 2024): More to come.
The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will occur over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
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Outstanding Documentary Series
Image Credit: HBO And the Nominees Are
Rank Series 1 “Quiet on Set: The Dark Side of Kids TV” (ID) 2 “The Jinx: The Life and Deaths of Robert Durst” (Max) 3 “Beckham” (Netflix) 4 “Telemarketers” (Max) 5 “Stax Soulsville U.S.A.” (Max) Variety: Outstanding Documentary Series -
Outstanding Documentary Special
Image Credit: Courtesy of Apple TV+ And the Nominees Are
Rank Series 1 “The Greatest Night in Pop” (Netflix) 2 “STEVE! (martin) a documentary in 2 pieces” (Apple TV+) 3 “Albert Brooks: Defending My Life” (Max) 4 “Jim Henson Idea Man” (Disney+) 5 “Girls State” (Apple TV+) Variety: Outstanding Documentary Special -
Hosted Nonfiction
Image Credit: Courtesy of Max And the Nominees Are
Rank Series 1 “My Next Guest with David Letterman and John Mulaney” (Netflix) 2 “Conan O’Brien Must Go” (Max) 3 “The Reluctant Traveler with Eugene Levy” (Apple TV+) 4 “Finding Your Roots with Henry Louis Gates Jr.” (PBS) 5 “How to With John Wilson” (Max) Variety: Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series -
Exceptional Merit
Image Credit: courtesy image And the Nominees Are
Rank Series 1 “Stamped from the Beginning” (Netflix) 2 “Beyond Utopia” (Independent Lens) 3 “Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project” (Max) Variety: Outstanding Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking